The war in Ukraine and its impact on how China views Taiwan

This report analyzes how lessons from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may shape China’s strategy toward Taiwan, emphasizing a likely reliance on cyber operations over conventional force, the limited but visible role of hacktivism, and evolving dark web dynamics including sales of Chinese data on Breached. It synthesizes perspectives from U.S. officials, outlines China’s tightening information controls, and notes U.S. cyber workforce gaps, concluding that stakeholders should monitor escalating geopolitical tensions and associated cyber risks impacting governments and private organizations.