Insider Betting on Polymarket
ID: c9f5169d-ab65-5dbe-beb6-5b8b29e43487
STIX ID: report--c9f5169d-ab65-5dbe-beb6-5b8b29e43487
Feed Name: Schneier on Security
A brief report highlights findings by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective that long-shot bets (≥$2,500 at ≤35% odds) on Polymarket's military and defense markets have an average win rate of ~52%, far higher than other political or general markets, suggesting widespread insider betting on the platform.
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