Geopolitical Drivers and Cyber Statecraft in the U.S. Intervention in Venezuela

This report analyzes the U.S. intervention in Venezuela (“Operation Absolute Resolve”) as a strategic move to preserve the petrodollar, secure critical mineral supply chains, and counter Chinese and Russian influence, with cyber operations elevated to primary tools of kinetic enablement and economic coercion. It describes the use of cyber to blackout Caracas and neutralize air defenses, outlines plans for digital reintegration and influence operations, and assesses risks including potential cyber retaliation and the acceleration of a fragmented “Splinternet.”