Alternative Future Analysis: Pro-Russian Hacktivism

This analysis applies an Alternative Future Analysis to possible post‑war trajectories for pro‑Russian hacktivist groups, using the outcome of the Russia–Ukraine war and the state of the Russian economy as key drivers. It presents four scenarios—continued state‑aligned operations, increased financially motivated crime, escalation to destructive malware (wipers), and intensified disinformation—recommending continued monitoring of targets, resources, and motivations to adapt defenses.